Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 22nd District

Randy Villegas wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

55% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Randy Villegas D won 55,563 66.3%
David Valadao R 28,255 33.7%
Total83,818

575 of 575 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 4:13 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Kern 49,704 D +37.9 D +1.0 D +36.9 51%
Fresno 16,493 D +20.9 R +7.3 D +28.3 66%
Tulare 11,142 D +29.4 R +8.2 D +37.7 51%
Kings 6,294 D +28.3 R +6.2 D +34.5 78%
Madera 185 R +18.9 R +32.4 D +13.5 95%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,001 votes83,818D +32.6
+7,369 votes81,817D +32.8
+4,113 votes74,448D +31.2
+3,449 votes70,335D +30.4
+293 votes66,886D +29.7
+27 votes66,593D +29.7
+1,425 votes66,566D +29.7
+14 votes65,141D +30.0
+1,727 votes65,127D +30.0
+29 votes63,400D +30.1
+430 votes63,371D +30.1
+20 votes62,941D +30.0