Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 16th District

Sam Liccardo wins. Called.

55% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Sam Liccardo D won 115,461 76.2%
Peter Soulé R 36,103 23.8%
Total151,564

337 of 337 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 4:02 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Santa Clara 115,902 D +51.1 D +48.2 D +2.9 52%
San Mateo 35,662 D +56.4 D +56.4 Even 66%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+3,313 votes151,564D +52.4
+4,068 votes148,251D +52.0
+2,304 votes144,183D +51.8
+396 votes141,879D +52.1
+1,608 votes141,483D +52.2
+46 votes139,875D +52.4
+3,633 votes139,829D +52.4
+140 votes136,196D +52.5
+14,116 votes136,056D +52.5
+2,937 votes121,940D +55.4
+756 votes119,003D +55.2
+105 votes118,247D +55.4