Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 38th District

Hilda Solis wins. Called.

76% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Hilda Solis D won 107,458 65.9%
Pedro Casas R 55,649 34.1%
Total163,107

415 of 415 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Los Angeles 123,256 D +45.9 D +22.9 D +23.0 76%
Orange 39,851 R +11.8 R +15.9 D +4.0 76%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+4,799 votes163,107D +31.8
+1,586 votes158,308D +31.0
+6,697 votes156,722D +31.3
+250 votes150,025D +30.0
+72 votes149,775D +30.0
+258 votes149,703D +30.0
+2,307 votes149,445D +29.9
+1,359 votes147,138D +29.6
+32 votes145,779D +29.5
+2,315 votes145,747D +29.4
+852 votes143,432D +29.2
+244 votes142,580D +28.8