California · U.S. House
California 23rd District
Obernolte leads by 3,571 votes. Not called.
Our forecast: Jay Obernolte, 85% chance of winning. Projected finish Obernolte +4.1. This isn't a race call.
In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 12 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Obernolte R | 67,672 | 51.4% |
| Tessa Hodge D | 64,101 | 48.6% |
| Total | 131,773 |
1,324 of 1,324 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.
By county
| Place | Votes | Margin | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Bernardino | 119,878 | R +2.3 | D +16.9 |
| Riverside | 6,144 | R +17.1 | D +13.8 |
| Los Angeles | 2,974 | D +16.7 | D +23.4 |
| Kern | 2,777 | R +9.2 | D +5.8 |
Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.
Vote updates
| Time | Update | Total votes | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| +38 votes | 131,773 | R +2.7 | |
| +795 votes | 131,735 | R +2.7 | |
| +90 votes | 130,940 | R +2.6 | |
| +291 votes | 130,850 | R +2.7 | |
| +733 votes | 130,559 | R +2.6 | |
| +16 votes | 129,826 | R +2.5 | |
| +3,087 votes | 129,810 | R +2.5 | |
| +4 votes | 126,723 | R +2.5 | |
| +326 votes | 126,719 | R +2.6 | |
| +9 votes | 126,393 | R +2.5 | |
| +9,544 votes | 126,384 | R +2.5 | |
| +3 votes | 116,840 | R +3.3 |