Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 33rd District

Pete Aguilar wins. Called.

62% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Pete Aguilar D won 76,869 67.6%
Stephanie Vargas R 36,781 32.4%
Total113,650

491 of 491 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
San Bernardino 112,081 D +35.4 D +10.3 D +25.1 70%
Riverside 1,569 D +25.4 D +3.8 D +21.6 44%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+339 votes113,650D +35.3
+3 votes113,311D +35.3
+1,577 votes113,308D +35.3
+1 votes111,731D +35.2
+9,896 votes111,730D +35.2
+2 votes101,834D +35.6
+8 votes101,832D +35.6
+5,404 votes101,824D +35.6
+9,417 votes96,420D +35.2
+128 votes87,003D +35.6
+1,088 votes86,875D +35.6
+85,787 votes85,787D +35.7