Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 10th District

Mark DeSaulnier wins. Called.

61% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Mark DeSaulnier D won 131,901 69.1%
Jeff Frese R 59,082 30.9%
Total190,983

728 of 728 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Contra Costa 175,953 D +37.6 D +34.2 D +3.4 62%
Alameda 15,030 D +44.0 D +40.4 D +3.6 54%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+831 votes190,983D +38.1
+25 votes190,152D +38.2
+8,999 votes190,127D +38.2
+45 votes181,128D +39.6
+7,047 votes181,083D +39.6
+1,295 votes174,036D +40.8
+5,993 votes172,741D +41.0
+12,834 votes166,748D +42.4
+153,914 votes153,914D +42.0
Mark DeSaulnier wins——