Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 9th District

Josh Harder wins. Called.

53% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Josh Harder D won 78,226 65.8%
John McBride R 40,665 34.2%
Total118,891

322 of 322 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
San Joaquin 83,414 D +25.2 D +3.0 D +22.2 56%
Contra Costa 35,477 D +46.6 D +32.3 D +14.3 46%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+9,459 votes118,891D +31.6
+11,888 votes109,432D +33.0
+3,803 votes97,544D +35.9
+1,529 votes93,741D +36.0
+1,121 votes92,212D +36.0
+998 votes91,091D +35.9
+29,147 votes90,093D +36.1
+60,946 votes60,946D +29.4
Josh Harder wins——