California · U.S. House
California 5th District
McClintock leads by 23,010 votes. Not called.
Our forecast: Tom McClintock, >99% chance of winning. Projected finish McClintock +13.1. This isn't a race call.
In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 12 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Tom McClintock R | 107,104 | 56.0% |
| Michael Masuda D | 84,094 | 44.0% |
| Total | 191,198 |
399 of 399 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 4:13 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.
By county
| Place | Votes | Margin | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanislaus | 53,744 | R +5.1 | D +12.0 |
| Fresno | 44,359 | R +18.7 | D +2.2 |
| Madera | 22,676 | R +13.4 | D +14.0 |
| Tuolumne | 18,415 | R +12.1 | D +10.3 |
| Calaveras | 16,321 | R +20.7 | D +8.1 |
| Amador | 15,253 | R +17.0 | D +11.6 |
| Mariposa | 6,762 | R +14.8 | D +6.9 |
| Mono | 4,784 | D +27.6 | D +6.4 |
| Inyo | 4,136 | D +5.9 | D +8.8 |
| San Joaquin | 3,403 | R +40.8 | D +6.7 |
| El Dorado | 791 | R +10.7 | D +12.7 |
| Alpine | 554 | D +37.9 | D +5.3 |
Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.
Vote updates
| Time | Update | Total votes | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| +5,340 votes | 191,198 | R +12.0 | |
| +58 votes | 185,858 | R +12.1 | |
| +1,818 votes | 185,800 | R +12.1 | |
| +1,379 votes | 183,982 | R +12.1 | |
| +5,213 votes | 182,603 | R +12.4 | |
| +7 votes | 177,390 | R +12.1 | |
| +670 votes | 177,383 | R +12.1 | |
| +845 votes | 176,713 | R +12.2 | |
| +630 votes | 175,868 | R +12.0 | |
| +2,121 votes | 175,238 | R +12.0 | |
| +6,096 votes | 173,117 | R +11.9 | |
| +3,175 votes | 167,021 | R +10.9 |