Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 3rd District

Ami Bera wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

53% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Ami Bera D won 95,702 57.0%
Robb Tucker R 72,252 43.0%
Total167,954

531 of 531 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Sacramento 86,183 D +24.8 D +18.7 D +6.1 50%
Placer 39,105 R +12.1 R +13.3 D +1.2 61%
Nevada 28,738 D +17.3 D +12.7 D +4.6 50%
El Dorado 13,928 D +13.3 D +6.0 D +7.2 60%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+808 votes167,954D +14.0
+1,390 votes167,146D +14.1
+1,039 votes165,756D +14.1
+2,676 votes164,717D +13.9
+1,074 votes162,041D +14.5
+3,431 votes160,967D +14.6
+2,677 votes157,536D +14.3
+2,522 votes154,859D +14.9
+8,017 votes152,337D +15.9
+71 votes144,320D +18.7
+1,313 votes144,249D +18.7
+2,883 votes142,936D +19.2