Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 11th District

Seat stays Democrat; winner not called. Every candidate is from the same party.

56% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Scott Wiener D 97,876 55.5%
Connie Chan D 78,594 44.5%
Total176,470

453 of 453 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
San Francisco 176,470 — — — 62%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+18,318 votes176,470—
+266 votes158,152—
+17,268 votes157,886—
+8,649 votes140,618—
+131,969 votes131,969—