Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 19th District

Jimmy Panetta wins. Called.

60% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jimmy Panetta D won 136,654 72.0%
Peter Verbica R 53,040 28.0%
Total189,694

428 of 428 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Santa Cruz 60,562 D +62.7 D +58.9 D +3.8 61%
Santa Clara 53,531 D +36.3 D +32.6 D +3.7 50%
Monterey 51,889 D +48.2 D +36.4 D +11.8 91%
San Luis Obispo 23,712 D +5.0 R +7.3 D +12.2 47%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+5,236 votes189,694D +44.1
+2,815 votes184,458D +43.9
+1,542 votes181,643D +44.0
+8,557 votes180,101D +44.1
+451 votes171,544D +45.1
+2,269 votes171,093D +45.1
+1,831 votes168,824D +45.0
+445 votes166,993D +45.3
+3,916 votes166,548D +45.3
+663 votes162,632D +45.9
+668 votes161,969D +46.0
+3,638 votes161,301D +46.0