Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 49th District

Mike Levin wins. Called.

73% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Mike Levin D won 121,663 57.4%
Armen Kurdian R 90,386 42.6%
Total212,049

699 of 699 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
San Diego 167,863 D +19.9 D +17.8 D +2.0 80%
Orange 44,186 R +4.7 R +10.7 D +5.9 91%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,241 votes212,049D +14.7
+515 votes209,808D +15.0
+45 votes209,293D +14.8
+5,014 votes209,248D +14.8
+72 votes204,234D +14.9
+12 votes204,162D +14.9
+6,952 votes204,150D +14.9
+6,613 votes197,198D +15.2
+22 votes190,585D +17.1
+772 votes190,563D +17.1
+2,768 votes189,791D +17.1
+66 votes187,023D +17.8