Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 45th District

Derek Tran wins. Called.

73% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Derek Tran D won 111,190 59.2%
Chuong Vo R 76,487 40.8%
Total187,677

424 of 424 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Orange 147,226 D +12.9 R +0.1 D +13.0 69%
Los Angeles 40,451 D +38.8 D +20.9 D +18.0 87%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,574 votes187,677D +18.5
+8,281 votes185,103D +18.0
+2,221 votes176,822D +17.9
+14 votes174,601D +17.5
+3 votes174,587D +17.5
+1 votes174,584D +17.5
+979 votes174,583D +17.5
+156 votes173,604D +17.4
+54 votes173,448D +17.4
+430 votes173,394D +17.4
+378 votes172,964D +17.4
+652 votes172,586D +17.4