Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 40th District

Seat stays Republican; winner not called. Every candidate is from the same party.

51% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Ken Calvert R 76,014 54.4%
Young Kim R 63,733 45.6%
Total139,747

558 of 558 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Riverside 70,607 — — — 48%
Orange 69,140 — — — 73%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+5,811 votes139,747—
+4,569 votes133,936—
+1,581 votes129,367—
+715 votes127,786—
+82 votes127,071—
+1,384 votes126,989—
+579 votes125,605—
+841 votes125,026—
+29 votes124,185—
+8,427 votes124,156—
+2,837 votes115,729—
+1,702 votes112,892—