Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Florida · U.S. House

Florida 21st District

Brian Mast wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Brian Mast R won 183,773 53.9%
James Martin D 152,430 44.7%
Alexander Cooke NPA 4,454 1.3%
Total340,657

313 of 313 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
St. Lucie 137,660 D +1.2 R +9.1 D +10.3 100%
Palm Beach 126,728 R +9.9 R +15.7 D +5.8 100%
Martin 76,269 R +27.3 R +31.3 D +4.0 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+192 votes340,657R +9.3
+280 votes340,465R +9.3
+526 votes340,185R +9.4
+690 votes339,659R +9.4
+501 votes338,969R +9.4
+394 votes338,468R +9.4
+615 votes338,074R +9.4
+3,013 votes337,459R +9.4
+1,222 votes334,446R +9.5
+9,875 votes333,224R +9.3
+19,067 votes323,349R +10.1
+1,676 votes304,282R +11.7