Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New York · U.S. House

New York 25th District

Joseph Morelle wins. Called.

93% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Joseph Morelle D won 176,301 63.0%
Virginia McIntyre R 103,422 37.0%
Total279,723

673 of 673 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Monroe 271,093 D +26.6 D +19.1 D +7.5 93%
Ontario 8,630 D +9.6 D +4.8 D +4.9 97%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+35,687 votes279,723D +26.1
+870 votes244,036D +27.3
+3,186 votes243,166D +27.5
+599 votes239,980D +27.8
Joseph Morelle wins——
+201,723 votes239,381D +27.9
+33,683 votes37,658R +46.5
+3,975 votes3,975D +29.4