Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New York · U.S. House

New York 4th District

Laura Gillen wins. Called.

97% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Laura Gillen D won 162,077 56.3%
Jeanine Driscoll R 125,333 43.5%
Blay Tarnoff L 720 0.2%
Total288,130

Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Nassau 288,130 D +12.8 D +1.3 D +11.5 97%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,923 votes288,130D +12.8
+16,296 votes285,207D +12.6
+9,641 votes268,911D +12.8
+140,126 votes259,270D +13.5
Laura Gillen wins——
+119,144 votes119,144D +17.8