Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New York · U.S. House

New York 19th District

Josh Riley wins. Called.

91% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Josh Riley D won 146,047 59.7%
Peter Oberacker R 98,733 40.3%
Total244,780

51 of 51 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Broome 36,315 D +35.8 D +0.4 D +35.4 97%
Tompkins 34,903 D +58.1 D +50.6 D +7.5 97%
Rensselaer 31,104 D +8.5 R +3.3 D +11.8 97%
Columbia 28,625 D +27.4 D +14.7 D +12.7 97%
Ulster 25,352 D +26.0 D +12.4 D +13.6 97%
Sullivan 24,205 D +6.4 R +16.7 D +23.1 97%
Greene 18,985 R +3.5 R +17.0 D +13.5 97%
Delaware 17,812 R +10.7 R +19.8 D +9.1 97%
Chenango 17,071 R +16.1 R +27.2 D +11.1 97%
Otsego 6,240 D +25.9 R +7.9 D +33.8 27%
Cortland 4,168 R +21.4 R +32.6 D +11.2 97%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+4,168 votes244,780D +19.3
+4,600 votes240,612D +20.0
+17,071 votes236,012D +20.5
+5,672 votes218,941D +23.3
+3,300 votes213,269D +24.3
+16,480 votes209,969D +24.7
+4,479 votes193,489D +27.4
+6,929 votes189,010D +29.1
+8,848 votes182,081D +30.8
+3,364 votes173,233D +32.5
+3,059 votes169,869D +33.1
+6,105 votes166,810D +33.3