New York · U.S. House

New York 6th District

Grace Meng wins. Called.

96% counted

Candidate	Votes	Share
Grace Meng D won	92,474	69.2%
Joseph Chou R	41,225	30.8%
Total	133,699

Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

Place	Votes	Margin	2024 president	Shift	Counted
Queens	133,699	D +38.3	D +6.5	D +31.8	96%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

Time	Update	Total votes	Margin
Nov 3, 10:12 PM	+217 votes	133,699	D +38.3
Nov 3, 10:08 PM	+491 votes	133,482	D +38.4
Nov 3, 10:03 PM	+425 votes	132,991	D +38.3
Nov 3, 9:27 PM	+305 votes	132,566	D +38.3
Nov 3, 9:17 PM	+347 votes	132,261	D +38.3
Nov 3, 9:08 PM	+325 votes	131,914	D +38.3
Nov 3, 8:42 PM	+470 votes	131,589	D +38.3
Nov 3, 8:37 PM	+1,347 votes	131,119	D +38.3
Nov 3, 8:33 PM	+527 votes	129,772	D +38.2
Nov 3, 8:23 PM	+846 votes	129,245	D +38.2
Nov 3, 8:17 PM	+1,607 votes	128,399	D +38.1
Nov 3, 8:12 PM	+1,603 votes	126,792	D +38.0

Forecast

Called.

Lead now: Meng +38.3
Votes left: About 4,990
Those votes should favor: Meng +32.7
Projected finish: Meng +38.1
80% range: Meng +37.5 to Meng +38.7
To catch up: Chou needs more votes than remain

Prediction markets

Market	Democrat wins	Traded
Kalshi	>99%	2,430 contracts
Polymarket	>99%	$30K

Chance a Democrat wins since Nov 3, 5:55 PM. Polymarket >99% · Kalshi >99%

Against past results

This year so far	D +38.3
2024 House	D +23.4
2024 President, statewide	D +12.7
Shift from 2024 president same places	D +31.8
Published pre-election estimate	D +29.0

Also in New York

All New York

NY Governor NY-01 NY-02 NY-03 NY-04 NY-05 NY-07 NY-08 NY-09 NY-10 NY-11 NY-12 NY-13 NY-14 NY-15 NY-16 NY-17 NY-18 NY-19 NY-20 NY-21 NY-22 NY-23 NY-24 NY-25 NY-26