New York · U.S. House
New York 17th District
Conley leads by 11,338 votes. Not called.
Our forecast: Cait Conley, >99% chance of winning. Projected finish Conley +6.4. This isn't a race call.
In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 17 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Cait Conley D | 133,219 | 52.2% |
| Michael Lawler R | 121,881 | 47.8% |
| Total | 255,100 |
0 of 307 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.
By county
| Place | Votes | Margin | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rockland | 122,794 | R +8.7 | D +3.1 |
| Westchester | 72,581 | D +34.1 | D +13.8 |
| Putnam | 42,244 | R +2.0 | D +11.7 |
| Dutchess | 17,481 | R +10.6 | D +8.9 |
Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.
Vote updates
| Time | Update | Total votes | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| +12,583 votes | 255,100 | D +4.4 | |
| +1,903 votes | 242,517 | D +4.2 | |
| +4,466 votes | 240,614 | D +4.7 | |
| +747 votes | 236,148 | D +5.2 | |
| +8,255 votes | 235,401 | D +5.4 | |
| +4,472 votes | 227,146 | D +6.5 | |
| +460 votes | 222,674 | D +8.6 | |
| +7,953 votes | 222,214 | D +8.9 | |
| +472 votes | 214,261 | D +9.6 | |
| Candidate totals changed | 213,789 | D +9.9 | |
| +67,456 votes | 213,789 | R +12.2 | |
| +6,973 votes | 146,333 | R +1.2 |