Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New York · U.S. House

New York 23rd District

Nick Langworthy wins. Called.

92% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Nick Langworthy R won 166,608 59.7%
Aaron Gies D 112,442 40.3%
Total279,050

91 of 91 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Erie 128,481 R +15.1 R +14.6 R +0.5 97%
Chautauqua 42,693 R +19.8 R +22.0 D +2.2 93%
Steuben 28,989 R +29.1 R +29.2 D +0.2 97%
Chemung 28,204 R +18.2 R +16.8 R +1.4 97%
Cattaraugus 26,401 R +31.5 R +32.8 D +1.3 97%
Niagara 9,060 R +19.6 R +20.3 D +0.7 97%
Allegany 6,732 R +38.5 R +43.2 D +4.7 97%
Tioga 4,705 D +23.3 R +22.9 D +46.2 23%
Schuyler 3,785 R +31.9 R +28.7 R +3.1 97%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+28,204 votes279,050R +19.4
+9,321 votes250,846R +19.5
+21,713 votes241,525R +19.2
+5,474 votes219,812R +17.0
+4,113 votes214,338R +15.9
+1,693 votes210,225R +15.1
+516 votes208,532R +14.8
Nick Langworthy wins——
+554 votes208,016R +14.8
+741 votes207,462R +14.8
+2,212 votes206,721R +14.8
+6,732 votes204,509R +14.6