Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New York · U.S. House

New York 12th District

Micah Lasher wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Micah Lasher D won 193,614 77.4%
Caroline Shinkle R 50,212 20.1%
Karen Ortiz KO 3,429 1.4%
Wilneida Negron FAU 2,894 1.2%
Total250,149

Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
New York 250,149 D +58.8 D +64.9 R +6.1 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+755 votes250,149D +58.8
+927 votes249,394D +58.8
+1,154 votes248,467D +58.8
+323 votes247,313D +58.8
+117 votes246,990D +58.8
+266 votes246,873D +58.8
+1,306 votes246,607D +58.8
+1,149 votes245,301D +58.9
+1,142 votes244,152D +58.9
+1,292 votes243,010D +59.0
+790 votes241,718D +59.1
+541 votes240,928D +59.2