Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New York · U.S. House

New York 3rd District

Tom Suozzi wins. Called.

98% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Tom Suozzi D won 149,547 55.0%
Michael LiPetri Jr. R 122,442 45.0%
Total271,989

44 of 44 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Nassau 202,574 D +6.6 R +6.7 D +13.3 97%
Queens 50,999 D +20.5 D +0.9 D +19.6 100%
Suffolk 18,416 D +17.4 D +6.5 D +10.9 97%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,150 votes271,989D +10.0
+8,664 votes269,839D +9.9
+3,975 votes261,175D +10.4
+99,135 votes257,200D +10.3
+608 votes158,065D +17.7
+628 votes157,457D +17.8
+1,036 votes156,829D +17.8
+1,167 votes155,793D +17.9
+1,246 votes154,626D +18.1
+1,194 votes153,380D +18.1
+30 votes152,186D +18.3
+355 votes152,156D +18.3