New York · U.S. House

New York 8th District

Hakeem Jeffries wins. Called.

93% counted

Candidate	Votes	Share
Hakeem Jeffries D won	128,197	80.0%
Lewis Mizrahi R	31,969	20.0%
Total	160,166

Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

Place	Votes	Margin	2024 president	Shift	Counted
Kings	160,166	D +60.1	D +44.7	D +15.4	93%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

Time	Update	Total votes	Margin
Nov 3, 10:36 PM	+636 votes	160,166	D +60.1
Nov 3, 10:32 PM	+345 votes	159,530	D +60.4
Nov 3, 9:48 PM	+693 votes	159,185	D +60.5
Nov 3, 9:17 PM	+83 votes	158,492	D +60.4
Nov 3, 9:08 PM	+1,310 votes	158,409	D +60.4
Nov 3, 8:56 PM	+290 votes	157,099	D +60.2
Nov 3, 8:52 PM	+300 votes	156,809	D +60.1
Nov 3, 8:46 PM	+174 votes	156,509	D +60.0
Nov 3, 8:23 PM	+186 votes	156,335	D +60.2
Nov 3, 8:17 PM	+263 votes	156,149	D +60.1
Nov 3, 8:12 PM	+288 votes	155,886	D +60.1
Nov 3, 8:07 PM	+4,095 votes	155,598	D +60.0

Forecast

Called.

Lead now: Jeffries +60.1
Votes left: About 12,700
Those votes should favor: Jeffries +56.2
Projected finish: Jeffries +59.8
80% range: Jeffries +58.6 to Jeffries +61.0
To catch up: Mizrahi needs more votes than remain

Prediction markets

Market	Democrat wins	Traded
Kalshi	>99%	4,320 contracts
Polymarket	>99%	$37K

Chance a Democrat wins since Nov 3, 5:55 PM. Polymarket 98% · Kalshi >99%

Against past results

This year so far	D +60.1
2024 House	D +50.8
2024 President, statewide	D +12.7
Shift from 2024 president same places	D +15.4
Published pre-election estimate	D +55.0

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