Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New York · U.S. House

New York 22nd District

John Mannion wins. Called.

96% counted
CandidateVotesShare
John Mannion D won 155,048 58.0%
Kailee Buller R 112,187 42.0%
Total267,235

93 of 93 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Onondaga 167,180 D +25.5 D +17.3 D +8.2 97%
Oneida 43,670 D +1.8 R +10.7 D +12.5 91%
Madison 25,876 R +7.2 R +13.1 D +5.8 93%
Cayuga 18,612 D +0.1 R +4.7 D +4.8 97%
Cortland 11,897 D +11.2 D +1.9 D +9.3 97%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
John Mannion wins——
Count revised by -1,221,206,480 votes267,235D +16.0
+4,401 votes1,221,473,715R +100.0
+1,221,376,594 votes1,221,469,314R +100.0
+53 votes92,720D +0.6
+11,897 votes92,667D +0.6
+4,528 votes80,770R +1.0
+521 votes76,242D +0.3
+7,383 votes75,721D +0.6
+14,084 votes68,338D +3.7
+346 votes54,254D +2.7
+386 votes53,908D +2.4