New York · U.S. House

New York 11th District

Nicole Malliotakis wins. Called.

91% counted

Candidate	Votes	Share
Nicole Malliotakis R won	101,719	56.2%
Michael DeCillis D	79,370	43.8%
Total	181,089

Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

Place	Votes	Margin	2024 president	Shift	Counted
Richmond	133,430	R +20.2	R +29.8	D +9.6	89%
Kings	47,659	D +9.5	R +10.9	D +20.4	96%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

Time	Update	Total votes	Margin
Nov 3, 9:12 PM	+288 votes	181,089	R +12.3
Nov 3, 8:56 PM	+284 votes	180,801	R +12.4
Nov 3, 8:46 PM	+733 votes	180,517	R +12.4
Nov 3, 8:42 PM	+291 votes	179,784	R +12.4
Nov 3, 8:37 PM	+285 votes	179,493	R +12.4
Nov 3, 8:27 PM	+233 votes	179,208	R +12.4
Nov 3, 8:23 PM	+231 votes	178,975	R +12.5
Nov 3, 8:21 PM	+1,177 votes	178,744	R +12.6
Nov 3, 8:12 PM	+90 votes	177,567	R +12.4
Nov 3, 8:07 PM	+700 votes	177,477	R +12.4
Nov 3, 8:04 PM	+872 votes	176,777	R +12.4
Nov 3, 7:59 PM	+3,123 votes	175,905	R +12.5

Forecast

Called.

Lead now: Malliotakis +12.3
Votes left: About 18,200
Those votes should favor: Malliotakis +19.6
Projected finish: Malliotakis +13.0
80% range: Malliotakis +14.5 to Malliotakis +11.5
To catch up: DeCillis needs more votes than remain

Prediction markets

Market	Democrat wins	Traded
Kalshi	<1%	57K contracts
Polymarket	<1%	$55K

Chance a Democrat wins since Nov 3, 5:55 PM. Polymarket <1% · Kalshi <1%

Against past results

This year so far	R +12.3
2024 House	R +28.2
2024 President, statewide	D +12.7
Shift from 2024 president same places	D +12.5
Published pre-election estimate	R +15.0

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