Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States · Tennessee

Shelby County, Tennessee

2026 election results. Jerri Green (D) has 65% of the vote for governor in Shelby County, with about 100% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 16.7 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Shelby County is split between 3 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Shelby County

U.S. Senate

Marquita Bradshaw
67.5%167,623
Bill Hagerty
30.3%75,272
Robert Jones
0.5%1,181
Tharon Chandler
0.4%931

6 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Bill Hagerty wins. Called.

Governor

Jerri Green
64.9%164,812
Marsha Blackburn
26.2%66,529
David Hatley
6.8%17,265
Lauren Pinkston
0.7%1,743

11 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Marsha Blackburn wins. Called.

U.S. House: Tennessee 5th District

Chaz Molder
88.4%42,950
Charlie Hatcher
9.7%4,696
James Johnson
1.4%704
Micheál O'Leary
0.5%244
100% counted

Only part of Shelby County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Charlie Hatcher wins. Called.

U.S. House: Tennessee 8th District

Heidi Kuhn
54.4%73,320
David Kustoff
43.7%58,949
Horace Taylor
0.4%572
Pamela Moses
0.4%515

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Only part of Shelby County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: David Kustoff wins. Called.

U.S. House: Tennessee 9th District

Justin Pearson
85.0%56,303
Brent Taylor
13.8%9,152
Dennis Clark
0.6%429
Michelle Head
0.6%368
100% counted

Only part of Shelby County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: not called; Brent Taylor leads.

The leader in Shelby County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 10:24 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
TN SenateD +38.0D +25.8D +12.2
TN GovernorD +42.5D +25.8D +16.7
TN-05 part of the countyD +80.3D +68.9D +11.4
TN-08 part of the countyD +10.9R +1.9D +12.8
TN-09 part of the countyD +72.0D +51.0D +21.0

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Shelby County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris61.8%Donald Trump36.4%D +25.4326,497
2020Joe Biden64.4%Donald Trump34.0%D +30.4381,909
2016Hillary Clinton61.9%Donald Trump34.5%D +27.5337,383
2012Barack Obama62.6%Mitt Romney36.6%D +26.1371,109
2008Barack Obama63.4%John McCain36.0%D +27.4404,555
2004John Kerry57.5%George W. Bush42.0%D +15.5375,584
2000Al Gore56.5%George W. Bush42.1%D +14.4336,755

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved D +10.9.

Other counties in Tennessee

Tennessee results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Tennessee certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Tennessee's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.