Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Tennessee · U.S. House

Tennessee 5th District

Charlie Hatcher wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Charlie Hatcher R won 110,408 51.7%
Chaz Molder D 99,841 46.7%
James Johnson I 2,641 1.2%
Micheál O'Leary I 815 0.4%
Total213,705

39 of 375 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Williamson 56,812 R +20.4 R +32.6 D +12.2 100%
Shelby 48,594 D +80.3 D +68.9 D +11.4 100%
Maury 27,022 R +29.3 R +47.7 D +18.4 100%
Henry 9,065 R +42.6 R +55.9 D +13.4 99%
Weakley 8,646 R +47.2 R +58.9 D +11.7 99%
Montgomery 8,276 D +28.1 D +3.6 D +24.5 90%
Dyer 8,270 R +47.4 R +62.2 D +14.7 92%
Obion 7,869 R +52.2 R +65.3 D +13.2 95%
Hickman 6,391 R +46.1 R +61.5 D +15.4 100%
Tipton 6,334 R +46.8 R +64.4 D +17.7 97%
Lauderdale 5,203 R +17.5 R +37.3 D +19.8 100%
Humphreys 5,197 R +37.7 R +56.7 D +19.0 100%
Benton 4,570 R +47.5 R +63.4 D +15.9 100%
Stewart 4,310 R +51.7 R +64.6 D +12.9 100%
Lewis 3,730 R +47.4 R +66.1 D +18.7 100%
Houston 2,294 R +41.8 R +58.9 D +17.1 86%
Lake 1,122 R +38.3 R +55.4 D +17.0 89%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
Charlie Hatcher wins——
+4,310 votes213,705R +5.0
+78 votes209,395R +4.1
+5,197 votes209,317R +4.1
+6,391 votes204,120R +3.2
+3,730 votes197,729R +1.8
+1,122 votes193,999R +1.0
+57 votes192,877R +0.8
+8,270 votes192,820R +0.8
+1,570 votes184,550D +1.3
+18,325 votes182,980D +0.6
+9,008 votes164,655D +3.0