Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Tennessee · U.S. House

Tennessee 8th District

David Kustoff wins. Called.

95% counted
CandidateVotesShare
David Kustoff R won 108,276 50.8%
Heidi Kuhn D 100,511 47.2%
Pamela Moses I 1,009 0.5%
Horace Taylor I 827 0.4%
Adam Austill I 812 0.4%
Wendell Blankenship I 683 0.3%
Antonio Futch I 492 0.2%
Henry Ward I 465 0.2%
Total213,075

76 of 99 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Shelby 134,816 D +10.9 R +1.9 D +12.8 100%
Madison 27,066 R +6.8 R +18.4 D +11.6 100%
Tipton 9,327 R +34.3 R +44.3 D +10.1 98%
Carroll 7,035 R +53.6 R +62.1 D +8.5 94%
Henderson 7,000 R +59.5 R +68.3 D +8.7 100%
Gibson 6,011 R +37.9 R +52.4 D +14.6 45%
Haywood 4,732 D +15.8 D +0.4 D +15.4 100%
Chester 4,541 R +55.4 R +65.7 D +10.3 94%
Fayette 3,802 R +26.8 R +42.6 D +15.9 71%
Crockett 3,540 R +45.3 R +59.3 D +13.9 100%
Decatur 3,261 R +59.5 R +69.8 D +10.2 91%
Perry 1,944 R +53.2 R +69.8 D +16.6 94%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+9,327 votes213,075R +3.7
David Kustoff wins——
+2,484 votes203,748R +2.3
+3,613 votes201,264R +2.4
+10,281 votes197,651R +3.1
+3,752 votes187,370R +2.0
+9,487 votes183,618R +0.8
+8,580 votes174,131R +0.3
+1,803 votes165,551R +0.5
+3,569 votes163,748D +0.1
+7,452 votes160,179D +0.6
+2,850 votes152,727D +0.3