Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Tennessee · U.S. House

Tennessee 9th District

Brent Taylor wins. Called. A change from Democrat control.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Brent Taylor R won 111,968 49.6%
Justin Pearson D 109,429 48.5%
Dennis Clark I 2,413 1.1%
Michelle Head I 1,804 0.8%
Total225,614

45 of 277 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Shelby 66,252 D +72.0 D +51.0 D +21.0 100%
Williamson 46,821 R +22.6 R +33.3 D +10.7 100%
Rutherford 12,953 D +11.6 R +10.2 D +21.8 100%
Bedford 12,427 R +36.0 R +58.6 D +22.6 100%
Lawrence 11,567 R +56.3 R +69.7 D +13.3 100%
Fayette 11,109 R +30.1 R +42.8 D +12.8 100%
Marshall 9,922 R +39.2 R +57.1 D +17.9 100%
Lincoln 9,880 R +51.7 R +65.2 D +13.5 100%
Maury 9,356 R +21.1 R +38.9 D +17.8 100%
Giles 8,271 R +42.4 R +55.5 D +13.1 100%
Hardin 7,291 R +62.4 R +71.6 D +9.2 100%
McNairy 7,112 R +59.4 R +69.1 D +9.7 94%
Hardeman 6,636 R +5.6 R +24.3 D +18.7 100%
Wayne 3,736 R +67.4 R +77.5 D +10.1 97%
Moore 2,281 R +56.9 R +69.9 D +13.0 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
Brent Taylor wins——
+186 votes225,614R +1.1
+2,647 votes225,428R +1.1
+3,269 votes222,781R +0.3
+3,860 votes219,512D +0.4
+8,271 votes215,652D +0.9
+3,225 votes207,381D +2.7
+405 votes204,156D +2.7
+143 votes203,751D +2.5
+5,561 votes203,608D +2.5
+101 votes198,047D +3.5
+2,608 votes197,946D +3.4