Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Tennessee

Union County, Tennessee

2026 election results. Marsha Blackburn (R) has 64% of the vote for governor in Union County, with about 100% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 21.6 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Union County

U.S. Senate

Bill Hagerty
77.3%3,592
Marquita Bradshaw
20.5%950
Yoshi Matthews
0.4%20
Tharon Chandler
0.4%17

6 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Bill Hagerty wins. Called.

Governor

Marsha Blackburn
63.7%3,145
Jerri Green
21.2%1,044
David Hatley
13.7%677
Lauren Pinkston
0.6%30

11 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Marsha Blackburn wins. Called.

U.S. House: Tennessee 2nd District

Tim Burchett
79.1%3,711
Michaela Barnett
20.1%942
Bruce Fine
0.6%29
Adam Heimerman
0.2%10
100% counted

Whole district: Tim Burchett wins. Called.

The leader in Union County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 8:59 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
TN SenateR +58.2R +71.7D +13.6
TN GovernorR +50.2R +71.7D +21.6
TN-02R +59.5R +71.7D +12.2

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Union County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris14.0%Donald Trump85.2%R +71.28,669
2020Joe Biden15.4%Donald Trump83.7%R +68.48,124
2016Hillary Clinton16.2%Donald Trump80.9%R +64.76,247
2012Barack Obama25.4%Mitt Romney73.5%R +48.15,828
2008Barack Obama28.6%John McCain69.8%R +41.26,399
2004John Kerry37.6%George W. Bush61.8%R +24.26,710
2000Al Gore44.0%George W. Bush55.0%R +10.95,821

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +60.2.

Other counties in Tennessee

Tennessee results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Tennessee certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Tennessee's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.