Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Tennessee

Carroll County, Tennessee

2026 election results. Marsha Blackburn (R) has 59% of the vote for governor in Carroll County, with about 93% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 20.9 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Carroll County

U.S. Senate

Bill Hagerty
74.3%5,236
Marquita Bradshaw
23.6%1,662
Tharon Chandler
0.5%37
Jeremy Hearn
0.3%23

6 more candidates on the race page.

92% counted

Statewide: Bill Hagerty wins. Called.

Governor

Marsha Blackburn
58.6%4,179
Jerri Green
24.4%1,739
David Hatley
13.2%941
Lauren Pinkston
2.8%201

11 more candidates on the race page.

93% counted

Statewide: Marsha Blackburn wins. Called.

U.S. House: Tennessee 8th District

David Kustoff
75.1%5,284
Heidi Kuhn
22.7%1,598
Adam Austill
0.6%45
Wendell Blankenship
0.5%32

4 more candidates on the race page.

94% counted

Whole district: David Kustoff wins. Called.

The leader in Carroll County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 8:47 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
TN SenateR +51.8R +62.1D +10.3
TN GovernorR +41.2R +62.1D +20.9
TN-08R +53.6R +62.1D +8.5

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Carroll County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris18.8%Donald Trump80.3%R +61.611,882
2020Joe Biden21.5%Donald Trump77.3%R +55.811,902
2016Hillary Clinton22.4%Donald Trump74.7%R +52.310,384
2012Barack Obama32.0%Mitt Romney66.6%R +34.610,851
2008Barack Obama34.2%John McCain64.0%R +29.811,646
2004John Kerry43.1%George W. Bush56.2%R +13.011,755
2000Al Gore48.4%George W. Bush50.5%R +2.110,827

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +59.5.

Other counties in Tennessee

Tennessee results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Tennessee certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Tennessee's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.