Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States · Tennessee

Jefferson County, Tennessee

2026 election results. Marsha Blackburn (R) has 60% of the vote for governor in Jefferson County, with about 100% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 22.3 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Jefferson County is split between 2 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Jefferson County

U.S. Senate

Bill Hagerty
74.0%11,475
Marquita Bradshaw
23.6%3,657
Robert Jones
0.5%80
Tharon Chandler
0.4%60

6 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Bill Hagerty wins. Called.

Governor

Marsha Blackburn
60.4%9,626
Jerri Green
24.4%3,883
David Hatley
12.1%1,934
Robert Vick
1.7%270

11 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Marsha Blackburn wins. Called.

U.S. House: Tennessee 1st District

Diana Harshbarger
72.9%10,388
Kristi Burke
24.2%3,450
Bill Cody
1.2%172
Joshua Ashburn
0.8%110

3 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Only part of Jefferson County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Diana Harshbarger wins. Called.

U.S. House: Tennessee 2nd District

Tim Burchett
70.2%409
Michaela Barnett
28.8%168
Bruce Fine
0.7%4
Adam Heimerman
0.3%2
92% counted

Only part of Jefferson County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Tim Burchett wins. Called.

The leader in Jefferson County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 6, 12:25 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
TN SenateR +51.7R +64.8D +13.1
TN GovernorR +42.5R +64.8D +22.3
TN-01 part of the countyR +50.1R +64.8D +14.6
TN-02 part of the countyR +41.8——

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Jefferson County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris17.4%Donald Trump81.6%R +64.225,815
2020Joe Biden19.7%Donald Trump79.0%R +59.323,607
2016Hillary Clinton18.3%Donald Trump77.5%R +59.219,072
2012Barack Obama24.1%Mitt Romney74.3%R +50.217,559
2008Barack Obama27.9%John McCain70.6%R +42.718,532
2004John Kerry31.8%George W. Bush67.5%R +35.717,207
2000Al Gore37.1%George W. Bush61.5%R +24.414,087

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +39.8.

Other counties in Tennessee

Tennessee results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Tennessee certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Tennessee's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.