Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Tennessee

Madison County, Tennessee

2026 election results. Jerri Green (D) has 46% of the vote for governor in Madison County, with about 100% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 22.2 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Madison County

U.S. Senate

Bill Hagerty
51.3%13,954
Marquita Bradshaw
46.7%12,708
Robert Jones
0.4%114
Tharon Chandler
0.3%83

6 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Bill Hagerty wins. Called.

Governor

Jerri Green
45.9%12,560
Marsha Blackburn
42.6%11,652
David Hatley
7.4%2,031
Lauren Pinkston
3.1%851

11 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Marsha Blackburn wins. Called.

U.S. House: Tennessee 8th District

David Kustoff
52.0%14,087
Heidi Kuhn
45.5%12,304
Pamela Moses
1.0%279
Adam Austill
0.4%106

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Whole district: David Kustoff wins. Called.

The leader in Madison County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 6, 12:25 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
TN SenateR +4.7R +18.4D +13.7
TN GovernorD +3.8R +18.4D +22.2
TN-08R +6.8R +18.4D +11.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Madison County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris40.3%Donald Trump58.5%R +18.239,964
2020Joe Biden42.8%Donald Trump55.7%R +12.942,948
2016Hillary Clinton40.5%Donald Trump56.0%R +15.438,120
2012Barack Obama45.1%Mitt Romney54.0%R +8.940,702
2008Barack Obama46.1%John McCain53.1%R +7.043,846
2004John Kerry43.5%George W. Bush56.1%R +12.538,665
2000Al Gore46.5%George W. Bush52.6%R +6.133,930

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +12.1.

Other counties in Tennessee

Tennessee results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Tennessee certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Tennessee's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.