Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Tennessee

Hamilton County, Tennessee

2026 election results. Jerri Green (D) has 51% of the vote for governor in Hamilton County, with about 100% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 24.4 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Hamilton County

U.S. Senate

Marquita Bradshaw
50.4%62,609
Bill Hagerty
47.8%59,388
Robert Jones
0.3%422
Tharon Chandler
0.3%359

6 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Bill Hagerty wins. Called.

Governor

Jerri Green
50.6%63,364
Marsha Blackburn
40.5%50,673
David Hatley
7.0%8,820
Lauren Pinkston
1.1%1,431

11 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Marsha Blackburn wins. Called.

U.S. House: Tennessee 3rd District

Anna Golladay
50.9%63,155
Chuck Fleischmann
47.0%58,377
Dean Arnold
0.9%1,168
Rodney King
0.5%592

3 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Whole district: Chuck Fleischmann wins. Called.

The leader in Hamilton County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 9:39 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
TN SenateD +2.6R +13.3D +15.9
TN GovernorD +11.1R +13.3D +24.4
TN-03D +3.9R +13.3D +17.2

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Hamilton County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris42.7%Donald Trump55.7%R +13.0174,438
2020Joe Biden44.2%Donald Trump53.9%R +9.7171,010
2016Hillary Clinton38.8%Donald Trump55.3%R +16.4142,408
2012Barack Obama41.7%Mitt Romney56.6%R +14.9141,181
2008Barack Obama43.6%John McCain55.4%R +11.8147,520
2004John Kerry41.8%George W. Bush57.4%R +15.5136,863
2000Al Gore43.0%George W. Bush55.3%R +12.4120,379

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +0.7.

Other counties in Tennessee

Tennessee results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Tennessee certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Tennessee's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.