Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Tennessee

Clay County, Tennessee

2026 election results. Marsha Blackburn (R) has 59% of the vote for governor in Clay County, with about 100% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 24.3 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Clay County

U.S. Senate

Bill Hagerty
75.7%1,544
Marquita Bradshaw
21.8%444
Tharon Chandler
0.6%12
Andrew Gerena
0.6%12

6 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Bill Hagerty wins. Called.

Governor

Marsha Blackburn
58.8%1,264
Jerri Green
23.6%507
David Hatley
15.7%338
Ray Brown
0.5%10

11 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Marsha Blackburn wins. Called.

U.S. House: Tennessee 6th District

Johnny Garrett
73.9%1,423
Mike Croley
23.6%454
Christopher Monday
1.2%24
Angus Purdy
1.2%24
99% counted

Whole district: Johnny Garrett wins. Called.

The leader in Clay County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 4, 12:52 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
TN SenateR +55.3R +67.1D +11.8
TN GovernorR +42.7R +67.1D +24.3
TN-06R +51.6R +67.1D +15.5

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Clay County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris16.3%Donald Trump82.9%R +66.63,760
2020Joe Biden21.0%Donald Trump78.0%R +57.03,508
2016Hillary Clinton24.2%Donald Trump73.3%R +49.12,920
2012Barack Obama36.8%Mitt Romney62.0%R +25.22,820
2008Barack Obama41.7%John McCain56.0%R +14.32,994
2004John Kerry49.9%George W. Bush49.1%D +0.83,352
2000Al Gore56.1%George W. Bush42.6%D +13.53,442

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +80.0.

Other counties in Tennessee

Tennessee results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Tennessee certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Tennessee's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.