Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Tennessee

Warren County, Tennessee

2026 election results. Marsha Blackburn (R) has 48% of the vote for governor in Warren County, with about 100% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 32.8 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Warren County

U.S. Senate

Bill Hagerty
66.9%6,648
Marquita Bradshaw
30.2%3,004
Robert Jones
0.7%70
Tharon Chandler
0.6%57

6 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Bill Hagerty wins. Called.

Governor

Marsha Blackburn
48.4%5,039
Jerri Green
29.7%3,094
David Hatley
19.6%2,043
Lauren Pinkston
1.1%110

11 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Marsha Blackburn wins. Called.

U.S. House: Tennessee 4th District

Scott DesJarlais
65.2%6,297
Victoria Broderick
31.6%3,054
Jacob Anders
2.2%216
Clay Faircloth
0.9%88
100% counted

Whole district: not called; Victoria Broderick leads.

The leader in Warren County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 12, 12:34 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
TN SenateR +37.8R +56.7D +18.9
TN GovernorR +23.9R +56.7D +32.8
TN-04R +34.7R +56.7D +22.0

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Warren County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris21.4%Donald Trump77.5%R +56.117,015
2020Joe Biden24.5%Donald Trump74.0%R +49.516,006
2016Hillary Clinton26.0%Donald Trump70.1%R +44.113,612
2012Barack Obama36.5%Mitt Romney61.5%R +25.013,015
2008Barack Obama38.3%John McCain59.5%R +21.214,400
2004John Kerry47.3%George W. Bush52.1%R +4.914,394
2000Al Gore56.2%George W. Bush42.3%D +13.913,131

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +70.0.

Other counties in Tennessee

Tennessee results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Tennessee certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Tennessee's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.