Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Tennessee · U.S. House

Tennessee 1st District

Diana Harshbarger wins. Called.

89% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Diana Harshbarger R won 122,643 66.9%
Kristi Burke D 55,101 30.0%
Joshua Ashburn I 1,791 1.0%
Bill Cody I 1,279 0.7%
Chris Campbell I 1,114 0.6%
Richard Baker I 1,050 0.6%
Tyler McClain I 479 0.3%
Total183,457

Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Sullivan 45,047 R +34.0 R +55.5 D +21.6 100%
Washington 33,188 R +15.6 R +40.0 D +24.3 88%
Greene 15,159 R +47.7 R +66.5 D +18.8 83%
Hamblen 14,675 R +38.5 R +59.4 D +20.9 100%
Hawkins 14,451 R +53.3 R +69.4 D +16.1 96%
Sevier 14,379 R +37.7 R +61.8 D +24.1 59%
Jefferson 14,255 R +50.1 R +64.8 D +14.6 100%
Carter 11,636 R +43.4 R +63.8 D +20.5 75%
Cocke 9,013 R +54.7 R +68.9 D +14.2 100%
Unicoi 5,282 R +46.1 R +62.7 D +16.5 94%
Johnson 4,913 R +57.9 R +69.9 D +11.9 89%
Hancock 1,459 R +58.2 R +76.9 D +18.7 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+6,590 votes183,457R +38.0
+4,459 votes176,867R +38.0
+305 votes172,408R +37.5
+13,601 votes172,103R +37.5
+1,138 votes158,502R +37.3
+650 votes157,364R +37.1
+20,254 votes156,714R +37.1
+51,267 votes136,460R +35.6
+764 votes85,193R +33.3
+30,261 votes84,429R +33.1
+54,168 votes54,168R +30.1
Diana Harshbarger wins——