Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Tennessee · U.S. House

Tennessee 2nd District

Tim Burchett wins. Called.

98% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Tim Burchett R won 138,566 57.1%
Michaela Barnett D 101,533 41.8%
Bruce Fine I 1,751 0.7%
Adam Heimerman I 884 0.4%
Total242,734

102 of 102 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Knox 156,521 R +0.8 R +19.8 D +19.0 100%
Blount 45,341 R +33.9 R +48.3 D +14.4 100%
Loudon 16,527 R +39.1 R +53.6 D +14.5 79%
Claiborne 8,062 R +60.2 R +70.7 D +10.4 100%
Grainger 6,553 R +61.0 R +74.1 D +13.1 100%
Union 4,692 R +59.5 R +71.7 D +12.2 100%
Campbell 4,455 R +56.8 R +70.9 D +14.1 100%
Jefferson 583 R +41.8 — — 92%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+336 votes242,734R +15.4
+9,851 votes242,398R +15.4
+3,045 votes232,547R +13.9
+1,117 votes229,502R +13.2
+3,221 votes228,385R +13.1
+2,501 votes225,164R +13.0
+1,578 votes222,663R +12.9
+6,923 votes221,085R +12.5
+12,515 votes214,162R +12.7
+11,185 votes201,647R +12.6
+7,673 votes190,462R +12.9
+5,797 votes182,789R +13.2