Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Arizona · Governor

Arizona Governor

Katie Hobbs wins. Called.

81% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Katie Hobbs D won 1,240,866 55.6%
Andy Biggs R 953,981 42.7%
Risa Lombardo G 20,017 0.9%
Teri Hourihan NL 18,622 0.8%
Total2,233,486

397 of 512 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 5:31 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Maricopa 1,345,748 D +16.1 R +3.5 D +19.6 81%
Pima 340,362 D +31.8 D +15.3 D +16.5 79%
Pinal 147,567 R +2.3 R +22.3 D +20.0 94%
Yavapai 111,551 R +21.2 R +34.2 D +13.0 84%
Mohave 69,795 R +43.9 R +56.1 D +12.2 79%
Coconino 46,341 D +39.7 D +20.2 D +19.6 78%
Cochise 40,602 R +7.2 R +23.4 D +16.2 80%
Navajo 34,355 D +0.5 R +17.4 D +17.8 78%
Yuma 28,786 D +5.2 R +20.6 D +25.8 58%
Apache 23,597 D +40.9 D +19.2 D +21.7 81%
Gila 16,687 R +23.0 R +37.9 D +14.9 68%
Santa Cruz 12,290 D +46.5 D +18.8 D +27.7 87%
Graham 9,374 R +29.3 R +48.6 D +19.3 80%
La Paz 4,577 R +30.1 R +44.5 D +14.4 77%
Greenlee 1,854 R +9.2 R +41.5 D +32.3 70%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+11,694 votes2,233,486D +13.1
+45,792 votes2,221,792D +13.1
+7,323 votes2,176,000D +13.1
+4,410 votes2,168,677D +13.2
+13,829 votes2,164,267D +13.2
+3,636 votes2,150,438D +13.1
+3,325 votes2,146,802D +13.2
+3,363 votes2,143,477D +13.1
+32,047 votes2,140,114D +13.0
+11,891 votes2,108,067D +13.2
+192,321 votes2,096,176D +13.6
+5,553 votes1,903,855D +14.9