Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Arizona · U.S. House

Arizona 1st District

Amish Shah wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Amish Shah D won 169,687 52.5%
Jay Feely R 146,978 45.4%
Monica Alponte L 6,725 2.1%
Total323,390

206 of 210 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Maricopa 323,390 D +7.2 R +3.1 D +10.3 99%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+3,692 votes323,390D +7.2
Amish Shah wins——
+8,558 votes319,698D +7.2
+46,148 votes311,140D +7.3
+6,822 votes264,992D +11.3
+10,043 votes258,170D +11.8
+248,127 votes248,127D +11.9