Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Arizona · U.S. House

Arizona 4th District

Greg Stanton wins. Called.

81% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Greg Stanton D won 140,838 62.3%
Zuhdi Jasser R 80,074 35.4%
Tisha Benoit NL 5,002 2.2%
Total225,914

149 of 151 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Maricopa 225,914 D +27.5 D +6.8 D +20.7 81%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1,289 votes225,914D +27.5
+12,371 votes224,625D +27.5
+26,046 votes212,254D +27.5
+15,806 votes186,208D +30.1
+8,163 votes170,402D +32.0
Greg Stanton wins——
+162,239 votes162,239D +32.1