Arizona · U.S. House
Arizona 2nd District
Crane leads by 4,233 votes. Not called.
Our forecast: Eli Crane, 94% chance of winning. Projected finish Crane +1.7. This isn't a race call.
In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 21 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Eli Crane R |
151,982 | 49.8% |
 Jonathan Nez D |
147,749 | 48.4% |
 Curtis Goodwin L |
5,434 | 1.8% |
| Total | 305,165 |
184 of 284 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 5:04 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.
By county
| Place | Votes | Margin | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yavapai | 119,632 | R +25.6 | D +8.5 |
| Pinal | 54,728 | R +2.7 | D +13.8 |
| Coconino | 51,067 | D +40.0 | D +19.8 |
| Navajo | 37,886 | R +0.6 | D +16.7 |
| Apache | 23,794 | D +46.7 | D +27.5 |
| Gila | 16,749 | R +26.8 | D +11.2 |
| Graham | 731 | D +85.0 | D +25.1 |
| Maricopa | 364 | D +78.0 | D +12.2 |
| Mohave | 214 | D +57.2 | D +18.7 |
Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.
Vote updates
| Time | Update | Total votes | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| +4,365 votes | 305,165 | R +1.4 | |
| +31 votes | 300,800 | R +2.0 | |
| +3,484 votes | 300,769 | R +2.0 | |
| +8,266 votes | 297,285 | R +1.8 | |
| +7 votes | 289,019 | R +0.8 | |
| +3,081 votes | 289,012 | R +0.8 | |
| +4,408 votes | 285,931 | R +0.8 | |
| +364 votes | 281,523 | R +0.3 | |
| +109 votes | 281,159 | R +0.3 | |
| +4 votes | 281,050 | R +0.3 | |
| +32 votes | 281,046 | R +0.3 | |
| +3,636 votes | 281,014 | R +0.4 |