Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Arizona · U.S. House

Arizona 3rd District

Yassamin Ansari wins. Called.

55% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Yassamin Ansari D won 108,264 88.3%
Alan Aversa NL 7,624 6.2%
David Redkey G 6,698 5.5%
Total122,586

129 of 135 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Maricopa 122,586 — — — 55%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1,240 votes122,586—
+4,569 votes121,346—
+25,623 votes116,777—
+2,102 votes91,154—
+5,725 votes89,052—
+83,327 votes83,327—
Yassamin Ansari wins——