Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Arizona · U.S. House

Arizona 6th District

Joanna Mendoza wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

92% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Joanna Mendoza D won 163,778 52.9%
Juan Ciscomani R 139,089 45.0%
Jereme Peters L 3,780 1.2%
Gary Swing G 2,665 0.9%
Total309,312

361 of 248 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 5:13 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Pima 233,335 D +17.0 D +8.2 D +8.8 91%
Cochise 34,899 R +25.8 R +33.3 D +7.5 90%
Pinal 29,369 R +2.7 R +13.4 D +10.8 100%
Graham 9,648 R +47.2 R +57.5 D +10.4 93%
Greenlee 2,061 R +17.8 R +41.5 D +23.7 79%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1,419 votes309,312D +8.2
+72 votes307,893D +8.3
+16 votes307,821D +8.3
+994 votes307,805D +8.3
+8,843 votes306,811D +8.3
+214 votes297,968D +7.9
+860 votes297,754D +8.0
+20,632 votes296,894D +8.2
+1,984 votes276,262D +10.2
+11,815 votes274,278D +10.5
+5,779 votes262,463D +12.1
+176 votes256,684D +13.1