Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Arizona · U.S. House

Arizona 7th District

Adelita Grijalva wins. Called.

64% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Adelita Grijalva D won 117,536 71.7%
Daniel Butierez R 46,413 28.3%
Total163,949

355 of 205 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 5:13 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Pima 105,963 D +44.3 D +28.7 D +15.6 64%
Maricopa 23,220 D +48.8 D +16.7 D +32.0 61%
Yuma 13,402 D +35.1 D +1.2 D +33.9 51%
Santa Cruz 12,288 D +44.5 D +18.8 D +25.7 88%
Cochise 7,560 D +38.3 D +20.6 D +17.8 71%
Pinal 1,516 R +14.6 R +32.4 D +17.8 72%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+552 votes163,949D +43.4
+814 votes163,397D +43.4
+996 votes162,583D +43.4
+1,065 votes161,587D +43.3
+81 votes160,522D +43.2
+4,951 votes160,441D +43.3
+4,677 votes155,490D +43.0
+11,384 votes150,813D +43.1
+2,519 votes139,429D +44.8
+331 votes136,910D +45.2
+11,066 votes136,579D +45.5
+3,369 votes125,513D +47.4