Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Texas

Waller County, Texas

2026 election results. Ken Paxton (R) got 50% of the U.S. Senate vote in Waller County. The margin is 23.4 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Waller County

U.S. Senate

Ken Paxton
50.0%11,868
James Talarico
48.1%11,431
Ted Brown
1.9%452
100% counted

Statewide: James Talarico wins. Called.

Governor

Greg Abbott
52.0%12,348
Gina Hinojosa
46.5%11,045
Pat Dixon
1.5%355
100% counted

Statewide: Gina Hinojosa wins. Called.

U.S. House: Texas 8th District

Jessica Steinmann
53.6%12,617
Laura Jones
46.4%10,933
100% counted

Whole district: Jessica Steinmann wins. Called.

The leader in Waller County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 9:40 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
TX SenateR +1.9R +25.3D +23.4
TX GovernorR +5.6R +25.3D +19.7
TX-08R +7.2R +25.3D +18.1

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Waller County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris37.0%Donald Trump62.0%R +25.127,523
2020Joe Biden36.0%Donald Trump62.7%R +26.722,737
2016Hillary Clinton34.2%Donald Trump62.7%R +28.516,784
2012Barack Obama41.0%Mitt Romney58.1%R +17.215,902
2008Barack Obama46.1%John McCain53.3%R +7.215,508
2004John Kerry44.3%George W. Bush55.3%R +11.113,881
2000Al Gore46.5%George W. Bush52.4%R +5.910,858

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +19.2.

Other counties in Texas

Texas results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Texas certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Texas's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.