Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Texas

Guadalupe County, Texas

2026 election results. Greg Abbott (R) has 54% of the vote for governor in Guadalupe County, with about 100% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 19.6 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Guadalupe County

U.S. Senate

Ken Paxton
51.9%36,786
James Talarico
46.1%32,666
Ted Brown
2.1%1,472
100% counted

Statewide: James Talarico wins. Called.

Governor

Greg Abbott
54.2%38,597
Gina Hinojosa
44.2%31,478
Pat Dixon
1.6%1,133
100% counted

Statewide: Gina Hinojosa wins. Called.

The leader in Guadalupe County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 4, 3:57 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
TX SenateR +5.9R +29.8D +23.9
TX GovernorR +10.2R +29.8D +19.6
TX-35R +12.3R +29.8D +17.5

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Guadalupe County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris34.7%Donald Trump64.2%R +29.585,231
2020Joe Biden37.0%Donald Trump61.2%R +24.177,757
2016Hillary Clinton31.8%Donald Trump63.4%R +31.557,822
2012Barack Obama31.8%Mitt Romney66.9%R +35.149,514
2008Barack Obama34.0%John McCain65.0%R +31.047,461
2004John Kerry26.6%George W. Bush72.8%R +46.238,752
2000Al Gore27.2%George W. Bush70.3%R +43.130,567

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved D +13.7.

Other counties in Texas

Texas results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Texas certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Texas's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.