Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Texas

Jefferson County, Texas

2026 election results. Gina Hinojosa (D) got 54% of the vote for governor in Jefferson County. The margin is 18.2 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Jefferson County is split between 2 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Jefferson County

U.S. Senate

James Talarico
55.7%40,543
Ken Paxton
42.5%30,937
Ted Brown
1.7%1,270
100% counted

Statewide: James Talarico wins. Called.

Governor

Gina Hinojosa
54.0%39,380
Greg Abbott
44.9%32,737
Pat Dixon
1.2%853
100% counted

Statewide: Gina Hinojosa wins. Called.

U.S. House: Texas 14th District

Randy Weber
56.2%20,439
Thurman Bartie
43.8%15,959
100% counted

Only part of Jefferson County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Randy Weber wins. Called.

U.S. House: Texas 36th District

Rhonda Hart
62.2%22,069
Brian Babin
37.8%13,418
100% counted

Only part of Jefferson County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Brian Babin wins. Called.

The leader in Jefferson County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 9:04 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
TX SenateD +13.4R +9.0D +22.4
TX GovernorD +9.2R +9.0D +18.2
TX-14 part of the countyR +12.3R +27.7D +15.4
TX-36 part of the countyD +24.4D +11.2D +13.2

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Jefferson County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris45.1%Donald Trump54.0%R +8.986,313
2020Joe Biden48.6%Donald Trump50.2%R +1.694,750
2016Hillary Clinton48.4%Donald Trump48.9%R +0.587,618
2012Barack Obama50.4%Mitt Romney48.8%D +1.688,627
2008Barack Obama50.8%John McCain48.6%D +2.288,296
2004John Kerry51.2%George W. Bush48.4%D +2.991,866
2000Al Gore52.2%George W. Bush46.4%D +5.986,909

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +14.7.

Other counties in Texas

Texas results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Texas certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Texas's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.