Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Texas

Karnes County, Texas

2026 election results. Greg Abbott (R) got 70% of the vote for governor in Karnes County. The margin is 16.1 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Karnes County

U.S. Senate

Ken Paxton
67.9%2,735
James Talarico
29.8%1,199
Ted Brown
2.4%95
100% counted

Statewide: James Talarico wins. Called.

Governor

Greg Abbott
70.4%2,851
Gina Hinojosa
28.5%1,155
Pat Dixon
1.1%44
100% counted

Statewide: Gina Hinojosa wins. Called.

The leader in Karnes County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 9:24 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
TX SenateR +39.0R +58.4D +19.3
TX GovernorR +42.3R +58.4D +16.1
TX-35R +44.5R +58.4D +13.9

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Karnes County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris20.7%Donald Trump78.9%R +58.25,068
2020Joe Biden23.5%Donald Trump75.5%R +52.05,253
2016Hillary Clinton27.3%Donald Trump70.6%R +43.44,198
2012Barack Obama31.7%Mitt Romney67.5%R +35.84,185
2008Barack Obama38.9%John McCain60.4%R +21.64,527
2004John Kerry33.0%George W. Bush66.6%R +33.64,673
2000Al Gore37.5%George W. Bush61.2%R +23.74,308

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +34.5.

Other counties in Texas

Texas results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Texas certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Texas's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.